April 20th, 2022 MLB Betting Tips

[Get Exclusive Tips on our Patreon, Ad-Free

]

Four MLB tips for April 20th, 2022.

2-1 record last night on Patreon.

Also on Patreon, I will have tips for tonight’s NBA Playoff games. We have an 8-5 record in the first round thus far.

Sign-up now for $11/month for daily MLB and NBA Playoffs tips. If you sign-up now there is no charge until May 1st.

Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

We are now posting some of our betting tips exclusively on Patreon, as well as posting exclusive betting tips there. Here is what you get by supporting us on Patreon:

  • Free Access: Sign up today for free access for the rest of the month. You won’t get billed until the 1st of May.
  • Exclusive betting tips. Not just the tips omitted from these posts, but Vin will also be posting EVERY MLB System play and tips for every NBA Playoff game on there, and Graeme
    will be doing various non-EPL soccer tips.
  • Ad-free experience.
  • Priority e-mails; receive the e-mails as soon as the tips are posted rather than hours later.
  • Feeling good about supporting two guys who have worked their butts off writing sports tips on here for free for over 10 years. We promise only to spend it on beer and wings at our local sports bars!

Click here to support us on Patreon. Thanks!

Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

All MLB tips based on the starting pitchers listed. Tips should be considered void if any pitching changes are made unless otherwise noted. Occasionally the “follower” will be listed as we are betting on who will pitch the bulk of the innings.
Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals Betting Tips:

ARI – Merrill Kelly 4.44 ERA/4.11 FIP (2021)
WSN – Erick Fedde 5.47 ERA/4.66 FIP (2021)

Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

The System seems some big runs being scored here. Merrill Kelly has struggled with homeruns over his career and pitched worse on the road last season. He’s been very good early in this season so this is a bit of a bet on regression. I’m prepared to be wrong, but a huge jump from 7.41 K/9 in 2021 and 12.54 K/9 in 2022 doesn’t seem sustainable.

Erick Fedde is about as average as a pitcher gets. He’s not someone I worry about throwing a shutout and the Diamondbacks have a patient offense.

A bit of a risk as both offenses have under performed early, but they are going to need to get back to where they are supposed to be at some point. This is as good of a match-up as any.

Pick: Arizona/Washington Over 4 Runs First 5 Innings (-120)
Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

St. Louis Cardinals at Miami Marlins Betting Tips:

Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

STL – Miles Mikolas 4.23 ERA/4.40 FIP (2021)
MIA – Sandy Alcantara 3.19 ERA/3.42 FIP (2021)

Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Betting Tips:

Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

TOR – Jose Berrios 3.52 ERA/3.47 FIP (2021)
BOS – Nick Pivetta 4.53 ERA/4.28 FIP (2021)

These pitchers are both a lot better than they have been this far, but they have both been very bad thus far.
Pivetta has allowed four runs in each of his first two starts and three homeruns overall. Tonight he faces one of the most powerful offenses in all of baseball in a friendly hitter’s park.

Berrios bounced back from his 1/3 inning, four run outing in his first start to allow three runs on two homeruns in five innings against the Yankees.

Not sure I am trusting either of these starters and I am a fan of both of these offenses. The System likes the game total as well in this one, but sees 6+ runs coming from the first five innings and that’s using their more favorable projections.

Pick: Blue Jays/Red Sox Over 5 Runs First 5 Innings (+100)
Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals Betting Tips:

MIN – Chris Paddack 5.07 ERA/3.78 FIP (2021)
KCR – Daniel Lynch 5.69 ERA/4.82 FIP (2021)

Not sure what the deal is with this line because it looks like a slam dunk for the Twins to me. They have the better offense, their offense hits lefties hard, and they have the better pitcher on the mound. Paddack had some bad luck last season with his ERA being so much higher than his FIP, but that shouldn’t be a problem in Minnesota with a great defense behind him.

The Royals are projected to be well below average against righties this year and they only have a 80 wRC+ thus far this season.
Bet Horse Racing – +£21,565.98 profit on £25/pt staking. Click for more details.

(Advertisement but we have tested it out and have been quite impressed with it)

Daniel Lynch was hit extremely hard in his last start, allowing six runs on nine hits to the Cardinals. The Twins have a better offense than the Cardinals.

Pick: Twins First 5 Innings Moneyline -125


Author: Phyllis Andrews